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Potential Analysis: Heat Sources and Potentials

The nPro potential analysis shows which heat sources and potentials are available in the vicinity of your district – from waste heat, wastewater treatment plants and water bodies through geothermal and solar thermal energy to biomass and renewable power generation.

What is the potential analysis used for?

Every district planning project starts with the question of which energy sources are actually available at the site. The potential analysis answers this question on a data basis and replaces time-consuming manual research across individual technical portals and geoportals. Typical applications are concepts for new-build and existing districts, municipal heat planning, and feasibility studies under Module 1 of the German federal funding scheme for efficient heat networks (BEW), which require available heat sources and potentials to be recorded and evaluated systematically.

How the analysis works

  1. Create your district in nPro.
  2. Define the analysis radius and start the potential analysis.
  3. Review the results for each data layer: occurrence, key figures such as area or capacity, and distance to the district boundary.
Potential analysis for districts
Figure 1: Potential analysis for districts

Anthropogenic heat sources

Waste heat from industry and commerce

The analysis checks whether waste heat sources are present within the analysis radius of the district. It evaluates the locations of industrial and commercial sites with waste heat potentials, along with their thermal capacity and load profiles.

Map of waste heat sources from industry and commerce in Germany
Figure 2: Waste heat sources for an area in North Rhine-Westphalia

Existing heat networks

The analysis checks whether heat networks already exist in the vicinity of the district. Connecting to an existing network can be an economical and quickly implementable supply option, and may complement or replace the development of new heat sources.

Map showing district heating shares and existing heat networks in Germany
Figure 3: Existing district heating networks for an area in North Rhine-Westphalia

Wastewater treatment plants (wastewater heat)

Wastewater treatment plants continuously release heat via treated wastewater, which can be used with large-scale heat pumps. The analysis identifies treatment plants within the analysis radius and reports their design capacity (population equivalents) as well as the annual wastewater volume.

Map of wastewater treatment plants with design capacity and wastewater volume
Figure 4: Existing wastewater treatment plants for an area in North Rhine-Westphalia

Natural heat sources

Surface waters

Rivers, lakes and other surface waters offer potential for climate-friendly heat supply via heat pumps. The analysis records water bodies within the analysis radius, including type, area and width (for watercourses). It also checks whether a water body lies within a water protection area.

Map of surface waters such as rivers and lakes
Figure 5: Surface waters in the analysis area

Solar thermal energy

Solar thermal systems convert solar radiation directly into heat and can contribute both to domestic hot water preparation and to space heating support. The analysis evaluates the solar thermal potential based on site-specific solar radiation conditions. The yield is calculated for a standard flat-plate collector at three collector temperatures (50 °C, 70 °C and 90 °C) in order to represent different applications and temperature levels of the heat supply.

Deep geothermal energy and water protection areas

Deep geothermal energy uses heat from deep rock formations and, depending on the geological conditions, can provide a baseload-capable, weather-independent heat source. The analysis checks at the district location whether petrothermal or hydrothermal potentials (proven or assumed) are present and reports the expected temperatures. The location relative to water protection areas is also taken into account.

Map of deep geothermal potential and water protection areas
Figure 6: Deep geothermal energy and water protection areas

Renewable fuels

Biogas and solid biomass are storable, renewable fuels that can be used flexibly for heat and power generation. The analysis covers two aspects: existing biogas and biomass plants within the analysis radius, each with its distance to the district boundary, and the share of land suitable for biomass in the analysis area as an indication of local supply.

Map of biogas and biomass plants around the district with distance information
Figure 7: Biogas and biomass plants

Renewable power generation

Renewable electricity from wind, photovoltaic and hydropower plants is a key element of decarbonization and can also contribute to climate-friendly heat supply through sector coupling, for example by operating heat pumps. The analysis records existing wind, photovoltaic and hydropower plants within the analysis radius and reports the installed capacity as well as the distance to the district boundary for each.

Map of wind, photovoltaic and hydropower plants around the district with installed capacity
Figure 8: Wind, photovoltaic and hydropower plants

Data sources

The data is based on a combination of several official and open data sources. These are merged and harmonized into a single data model to ensure a consistent and reliable data basis.

Table 1: Data sources for the potential analysis
PotentialSource/datasetRelevant dataVersionReference
Waste heatFederal Office for Economic Affairs and Export Control (BfEE): Waste heat platformLocation, address, annual heat quantity (kWh/a), max. thermal capacity (kW), temperature level, availability, monthly capacity profile (kW), supplementary information2022bfee-online.de
Existing heat networksFederal Statistical Office (Destatis): 2022 Census, table “Buildings with residential space by predominant type of heating in grid cells”Grid cells with district heating share2022destatis.de
Wastewater treatment plantsKommunales AbwasserCoordinates, name, design capacity, wastewater volume2022kommunales-abwasser.de
Surface watersGeofabrik: GermanyGeometry, type, name2026download.geofabrik.de
Deep geothermal energyGeothermal Information System (GeotIS), LIAG Institute for Applied Geophysics: Overview mapsGeometry, category (petrothermal/hydrothermal), temperature2013geotis.de1
Biogas, biomass, wind, PV and hydropower plantsZenodo: Geo-locations and System Data of Renewable Energy Installations in GermanyGeometry, type, location, capacity, year of commissioning2021zenodo.org
Land useCORINE Land Cover 2018 (vector/raster 100 m), Europe, 6-yearlyCategory2018land.copernicus.eu2
Water protection areas (Germany)BfG geoportal: water protection area (Wasserschutzgebiete-DE)Geometry, name2026geoportal.bafg.de3
Water protection areas (Baden-Württemberg)LUBW data and map service 4.0Geometry, name2026rips-datenlink.lubw.de4

Sources

  1. Data source: © LIAG Institute for Applied Geophysics. Reference citation: Agemar, T., Alten, J., Ganz, B., Kuder, J., Kühne, K., Schumacher, S. & Schulz, R. (2014): The Geothermal Information System for Germany – GeotIS. ZDGG 165(2), 129–144. Further references: geotis.de/homepage/references
  2. Generated using European Union’s Copernicus Land Monitoring Service information.
  3. © WasserBLIcK/BfG & competent authorities of the German federal states, 2026-04-02.
  4. Based on data from the Environmental Information System (UIS) of the LUBW Baden-Württemberg State Institute for the Environment.

Notes on data accuracy and suitability

The potentials reported are based on public and official data sources; coverage, timeliness and level of detail may vary by region. The analysis serves to pre-select possible heat sources and does not replace a site assessment, permitting procedure or feasibility study. No warranty is given as to accuracy, completeness or fitness for a particular purpose.

Potential analysis for your district

The potential analysis is part of the Plus license and can be run directly for any project in nPro.